{"id":29252,"date":"2021-11-24T02:47:47","date_gmt":"2021-11-24T02:47:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?page_id=29252"},"modified":"2023-12-06T00:58:32","modified_gmt":"2023-12-06T00:58:32","slug":"global-population","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/","title":{"rendered":"Global population"},"content":{"rendered":"

The past century has seen an exponential rise in global population. It took 123 years<\/a> for the world population to grow from 1 to 2 billion (in 1927);\u00a0 33 years to reach 3 billion in 1960; and only 39 years to double to 6 billion in 1999. Growth, however, slowed to 1.0% in 2020 and global population is now predicted to peak at 9 billion<\/a> in the 2050s.<\/p>\n

\"Global<\/p>\n

This is from The End of Population Growth \u2013 Sanjeev Sanyal \u2013 Project Syndicate<\/a>:<\/p>\n

What demographers call the Total Fertility Rate is the average number of live births per woman over her lifetime. In the long run, a population is said to be stable if the TFR is at the replacement rate, which is a little above 2.3 for the world as a whole, and somewhat lower, at 2.1, for developed countries, reflecting their lower infant-mortality rates.<\/p>\n

The TFR for most developed countries now stands well below replacement levels. The OECD average is at around 1.74, but some countries, including Germany and Japan, produce less than 1.4 children per woman. However, the biggest TFR declines in recent years have been in developing countries. The TFR in China and India was 6.1 and 5.9, respectively, in 1950. It now stands at 1.8 in China, owing to the aggressive one-child policy, while rapid urbanization and changing social attitudes have brought down India\u2019s TFR to 2.6.<\/p>\n

\u2026. it is likely that world population will peak at nine billion in the 2050\u2019s, a half-century sooner than generally anticipated\u2026.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Food scarcity<\/h2>\n

We are likely to face increasing scarcity of food and water. Advances in technology have improved crop yields, but increased meat consumption in China and other Asian economies<\/a> will reduce overall output. The area of land required to produce an equivalent amount of edible protein from livestock is 4 to 5 times higher<\/a> compared to traditional grains and legumes, and up to 10 times higher for beef. Diversion of land use for ethanol production may also restrict food output.<\/p>\n

Global warming, whether man-made or a natural cycle, may also contribute to declining food production — through droughts, floods and depleted fish stocks.<\/p>\n

Ageing populations<\/h2>\n

Populations in most developed countries are ageing due to low birth rates and the baby boom after World War II. This is best illustrated by the growing percentages of population aged 65 and over.<\/p>\n

\"Ageing<\/p>\n

China is experiencing a similar ageing population as a result of its one-child policy.<\/p>\n

Ageing populations are likely to increase demand for health services, retirement accommodation, and investment services.<\/p>\n

Growing populations in under-developed countries<\/h2>\n

South Asia has experienced massive population growth over the past 50 years but that growth is now slowing. Sub-Saharan Africa, however, continues to grow.<\/p>\n

\"Population<\/p>\n

Migration<\/h2>\n

Of 417,000 first-time applicants to the EU, the top nationalities are mainly from conflict areas (Syria, Afghanistan), political strife (Venezuela, Colombia, Iraq) or for economic reasons (struggling economies).<\/p>\n

\"Migration<\/p>\n

Migrants are increasingly being used as a political weapon: to heighten political divisions by stoking a nationalist backlash against rising immigration. The latest is attempts by Belarussian dictator Alexander Lukashenko to fuel a migrant crisis<\/a> in Lithuania and Poland by flying in migrants and assisting them in crossing the border illegally.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The past century has seen an exponential rise in global population. It took 123 years for the world population to grow from 1 to 2 billion (in 1927);\u00a0 33 years to reach 3 billion in 1960; and only 39 years to double to 6 billion in 1999. Growth, however, slowed to 1.0% in 2020 and … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Global population”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":14708,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-29252","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"\nWhy Evaluate Trends? Global Population<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why Evaluate Trends? Global Population\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The past century has seen an exponential rise in global population. It took 123 years for the world population to grow from 1 to 2 billion (in 1927);\u00a0 33 years to reach 3 billion in 1960; and only 39 years to double to 6 billion in 1999. Growth, however, slowed to 1.0% in 2020 and … Continue reading "Global population"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-12-06T00:58:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/popn-global.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/\",\"name\":\"Why Evaluate Trends? Global Population\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/popn-global.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-11-24T02:47:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-12-06T00:58:32+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/popn-global.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/popn-global.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Mega Trends\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Global population\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. Strategic. Unfiltered. \",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Why Evaluate Trends? Global Population","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Why Evaluate Trends? Global Population","og_description":"The past century has seen an exponential rise in global population. It took 123 years for the world population to grow from 1 to 2 billion (in 1927);\u00a0 33 years to reach 3 billion in 1960; and only 39 years to double to 6 billion in 1999. Growth, however, slowed to 1.0% in 2020 and … Continue reading \"Global population\"","og_url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/","og_site_name":"the patient investor","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","article_modified_time":"2023-12-06T00:58:32+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/popn-global.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/","name":"Why Evaluate Trends? Global Population","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/popn-global.png","datePublished":"2021-11-24T02:47:47+00:00","dateModified":"2023-12-06T00:58:32+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/popn-global.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/popn-global.png"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/global-population\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Mega Trends","item":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Global population"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","name":"The Patient Investor","description":"Smart. Strategic. Unfiltered. ","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/P9tQ4n-7BO","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":29238,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/climate-change\/","url_meta":{"origin":29252,"position":0},"title":"Environmental damage","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 24, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"CO2 and methane emissions CO2 and methane emissions cause climate change. Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, Data source: NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS). Whether man-made or a natural event, climate change is likely to present challenges to water resources and food production \u2013 both agriculture and fisheries. Global warming\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"UK: Plastics Recycling","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/plastics.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/plastics.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/plastics.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29170,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/mega-trends-decarbonization\/electricity-grid\/","url_meta":{"origin":29252,"position":1},"title":"Electricity grid","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 24, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"EV charging infrastructure From McKinsey Consulting: Over the next five years, EV sales are expected to at least quadruple in the EU-27 plus the United Kingdom and more than double in the United States, resulting in the adoption of more than 50 million passenger vehicles and more than four million\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"McKinsey: Global demand for EV chargers","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/ev-chargers.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/ev-chargers.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/ev-chargers.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/ev-chargers.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29360,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/digital-communication\/payments-processing\/","url_meta":{"origin":29252,"position":2},"title":"Payments processing","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 25, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The payments industry remains one of the brightest spots on the financial services landscape, according to a report from the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and Swift, which predicts global revenue to grow by more than $1 trillion by 2027. Payments revenue grew at a CAGR of 6.8% globally between 2010\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":29260,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/mega-trends-decarbonization\/coal-gas\/","url_meta":{"origin":29252,"position":3},"title":"Coal & gas","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 24, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Coal output is expected to remain steady over the next 5 years but then decline as the shift to LNG and renewable energy grows. From the Sydney Morning Herald: Worldwide coal consumption dropped in 2014 for the first time this century, the IEA said, sliding by 0.9 per cent to\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":29225,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/internet-digital-communication\/","url_meta":{"origin":29252,"position":4},"title":"Internet","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 24, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Rising Internet usage has a negative impact on mainstream Retail and Media (newspapers and television) but also spawned an array of online services. Technology Platforms Platforms of big technology companies enjoy three key advantages: Massive reach through a global membership base. The network effect means that networks become increasingly more\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"Alphabet Revenue Growth","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/googl-revenue.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":14708,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/","url_meta":{"origin":29252,"position":5},"title":"Mega Trends","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 9, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Mega trends are secular or generational trends that span several decades, sometimes longer. Use the top menu for links to the mega trends identified below: Global population Ageing populations in developed countries Growing populations in underdeveloped countries Migration Environmental damage CO2 and methane emissions Plastic pollution Over-fishing Decarbonization Renewables Electric\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/29252","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29252"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/29252\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46135,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/29252\/revisions\/46135"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/14708"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}