{"id":29238,"date":"2021-11-24T01:26:01","date_gmt":"2021-11-24T01:26:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?page_id=29238"},"modified":"2023-12-06T00:41:53","modified_gmt":"2023-12-06T00:41:53","slug":"climate-change","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/climate-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Environmental damage"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>CO<sup>2<\/sup> and methane emissions<\/h2>\n<p>CO2 and methane emissions cause climate change.<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Global Land-Sea Temperature\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/globaltemp.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Global Land-Sea Temperature\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 80%;\">Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, Data source: NASA&#8217;s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS).<\/p>\n<p>Whether man-made or a natural event, climate change is likely to present challenges to water resources and food production \u2013 both agriculture and fisheries. Global warming is also driving a shift away from fossil fuels towards renewable energy (see <em>Decarbonization<\/em>).<\/p>\n<h3>Storms<\/h3>\n<p>Severe storms (green below) are on the increase according to Ed Yardeni at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/feed\/update\/urn:li:share:6853146834458816512\/\">Yardeni Research<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-10-11-yardeni.jpg?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Severe Storms\"  \/><\/p>\n<h3>China<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>The flip side of China\u2019s impressive growth has been its disastrous degradation of the environment. At the 18th Party Congress Xi Jinping gave the environment a major part; at the 19th he put it center stage. Water shortage is a major reason. A lack of inspection, transparency, enforcement and punishment (it has<br \/>\nbeen cheaper to pay fines than to follow regulations) has led industry and mining to pollute on a heroic scale&#8230;.(<a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.chinadialogue.net\/content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/20093454\/China_s_looming_water_crisis_v.2__1_.pdf\">C.Parton<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h3>Water shortages<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>As widely cited, China has 20% of the world\u2019s population but only 7% of the world\u2019s freshwater resources. Regional differences make the water issue even more challenging: North China (12 provinces north of the Yangtze River) accounts for more than 60% of China\u2019s agricultural land and 40% of China\u2019s population, while possessing only 20% of the nation\u2019s freshwater resources. Agriculture accounts for approximately 60% of China\u2019s water consumption with power generation\/manufacturing consuming another 20%; Chinese household consumption accounts for most of the remainder&#8230;..The challenges of water availability mean that seasonal power demand shifts or weather disruptions can bring China\u2019s electric grid down quickly. (<a href=\"https:\/\/readyforclimate.org\/reports\/water-crisis-in-china\/\">Gopal Reddy<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>Plastics<\/h2>\n<blockquote><p>Global plastic production now averages more than 300 million metric tons per year, which is a staggering increase compared to the 1.5 million metric tons produced in 1950. The quantity of plastic materials produced since 1950 has now surpassed more than nine billion metric tons, with much of this produced in the past decade. However, more than half of all plastics ever produced have ended up as waste. The improper disposal of plastic waste poses a serious issue because some plastic products can take 500 years to decompose. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/topics\/5401\/global-plastic-waste\/#dossierKeyfigures\">Statista<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h3>Plastics recycling<\/h3>\n<p>Here is a projection of UK plastic waste flows for 2030:<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/plastics.jpg?resize=525%2C343&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"UK: Plastics Recycling\" width=\"525\" height=\"343\" \/><\/p>\n<p>With a drive to divert more plastic to recycling, plastic going to Energy from Waste (EFW) is expected to decrease to 30% (from over 45%).<\/p>\n<p>Non-mechanical recycling could be the end-of-life route for 7% of material in 2030. It includes recycling processes known under the umbrella term \u2018chemical recycling\u2019 as well as processes such as purification.<\/p>\n<p>The industry estimates it will take \u00a31\u20131.3 billion to build required facilities in the UK just for mechanical recycling. Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) is proposed as a major source of funding. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.letsrecycle.com\/news\/what-is-the-future-of-plastic-recycling\/\">LetsRecycle<\/a>)<\/p>\n<h2>Oceans<\/h2>\n<blockquote><p>Over the past 50 years, the world has witnessed a massive decline in the health of its fisheries. Quite simply, we are removing fish from the ocean at a far greater rate than they can naturally replenish.<\/p>\n<p>Marine fisheries support approximately 260 million jobs, and fish is one of the most highly-traded food commodities globally \u2013 worth over US$160 billion in 2018. Additionally, seafood consumption continues to grow every year, with more than three billion people dependent on seafood for one-fifth of their protein needs.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;..Alarmingly, one in five stocks within our data is estimated to be below 20 per cent of unfished levels of abundance, far below what is considered sustainable. Additionally, eight per cent of stocks have been reduced to less than 10 per cent of unfished populations \u2013 the point of collapse. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.minderoo.org\/global-fishing-index\/results\/key-findings\/\">Minderoo Foundation<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/fish.svg\" alt=\"Fish Stocks\" width=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CO2 and methane emissions CO2 and methane emissions cause climate change. Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, Data source: NASA&#8217;s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS). Whether man-made or a natural event, climate change is likely to present challenges to water resources and food production \u2013 both agriculture and fisheries. Global warming is also driving a shift &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/climate-change\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Environmental damage&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":14708,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-29238","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Evaluate Trends? Climate Change<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/climate-change\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why Evaluate Trends? Climate Change\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"CO2 and methane emissions CO2 and methane emissions cause climate change. Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, Data source: NASA&#8217;s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS). Whether man-made or a natural event, climate change is likely to present challenges to water resources and food production \u2013 both agriculture and fisheries. 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We often attribute achievements of the past century to man's ingenuity but how far would we have got without energy? The chart below shows the growth in global energy consumption over two centuries. Imagine\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"Global Energy Use","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/global-energy-substitution.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/global-energy-substitution.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/global-energy-substitution.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14708,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/","url_meta":{"origin":29238,"position":1},"title":"Mega Trends","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 9, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Mega trends are secular or generational trends that span several decades, sometimes longer. Use the top menu for links to the mega trends identified below: Global population Ageing populations in developed countries Growing populations in underdeveloped countries Migration Environmental damage CO2 and methane emissions Plastic pollution Over-fishing Decarbonization Renewables Electric\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":28910,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/mega-trends-decarbonization\/","url_meta":{"origin":29238,"position":2},"title":"Decarbonization","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 12, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Decarbonization is expected to have a profound impact on the global economy over the next thirty years. The Paris Accord in 2015 set the goal of achieving a climate-neutral society by 2050, in order to limit rising global temperatures from man-made CO2 emissions. Implementation got off to a slow start\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"Carbon Emissions by Industry","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-04-carbon.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-04-carbon.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-04-carbon.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-04-carbon.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":28917,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/mega-trends-decarbonization\/nuclear-power\/","url_meta":{"origin":29238,"position":3},"title":"Nuclear Energy","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 12, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Mother nature is fickle and cannot be relied upon for base-load power -- battery storage cannot cope with a poor wind season or low rainfall. Base-load power from coal and gas-fired power stations will be difficult to replace, unless with nuclear. The meltdown at Fukushima atomic plant in Japan caused\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"Rolls Royce: Proposed SMR","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-04-smr.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-04-smr.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-04-smr.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-04-smr.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29344,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/mega-trends-decarbonization\/heavy-transport-ev-or-hydrogen\/","url_meta":{"origin":29238,"position":4},"title":"Heavy transport: EV or hydrogen?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 25, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The major obstacle with trucking has been low battery range and lengthy charging times for electric vehicles (EV), leaving hydrogen fuel cells as the obvious choice. Now, Sweden\u2019s Scania AB, one of the world\u2019s largest truck and bus manufacturers, is shifting emphasis to EV. Citing progress in battery technology \u2014\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"Lithium Projected Demand","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/pem.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":29467,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/why-evaluate-trends\/geopolitics\/","url_meta":{"origin":29238,"position":5},"title":"Geopolitics and great power conflict","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 1, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Followers of international relations can take their pick of wars at present. There is a trade war between the US and China; Russia waging a cyber-war on the West; a Cold War in Eastern Europe and the Baltics; a proxy war in Yemen between Saudi Arabia and Iran; frozen wars\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"Plaster cast bust of Thucydides","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/thucydides.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/29238","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29238"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/29238\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46118,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/29238\/revisions\/46118"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/14708"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29238"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}