{"id":14731,"date":"2024-04-17T23:43:32","date_gmt":"2024-04-17T23:43:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?page_id=14731"},"modified":"2024-04-18T05:13:25","modified_gmt":"2024-04-18T05:13:25","slug":"time-frames-hare-or-tortoise","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/time-frames-hare-or-tortoise\/","title":{"rendered":"Time frames: Hare or tortoise?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>When you buy a stock, think of it as buying a share in a business. You are now the proud part-owner of a business enterprise. You may have a portfolio of such investments, but that shouldn&#8217;t alter your approach. Treat each as a long-term investment.<\/p>\n<p>If you own a gold stock, you are part-owner of a gold mine and should look forward to a strong gold price, especially if it is a marginal mine, rising production, and effective management of costs. If you own a share in Microsoft you would hope for increased market share as well as effective cost management.<\/p>\n<p>Occasionally you may have to sell a stock because something has negatively affected the long-term prospects of the business, or because you receive a crazy offer that is way above its perceived value. But these should be exceptions rather than the general rule.<\/p>\n<p>There are 3 keys to successful investment:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Timing of your investment;<\/li>\n<li>Length of time you hold the investment;<\/li>\n<li>Timing of the sale.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Many investment advisers follow the adage: &#8220;It&#8217;s not timing the market that is important; it&#8217;s time in the market.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>While I agree that time in the market is important, try telling someone who invested in stocks in 2000, or 2007, that timing isn&#8217;t important. It can take up to a decade or more to restore value lost through poor market timing. So don&#8217;t tell me that it&#8217;s not important. <\/p>\n<p>The green and red arrows below identify the start of bull and bear markets on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, in accordance with Dow Theory.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\" alt=\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-01-25-dow.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Similarly, investors who sold their stock portfolio in 2002\/2003 or 2008\/2009 are unlikely to be happy with their performance.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, if you continually buy and sell stocks on a daily basis, you are unlikely to have much success. There are exceptions, but they are a few compared to the many. Short-term stock movements are largely random and it is difficult to find a consistent edge. On top of that, you have transaction costs that continually erode your capital.<\/p>\n<p>Whether you are part-owner in a business or in real estate, you are unlikely to show much profit if you continually buy and sell your investments. In the words of a valued former client: &#8220;You need to let time do its work.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The longer your time frame, there are two factors that work in your favor: lower transaction costs and less random market behavior. The longer the time frame, the easier it is to predict stock market direction. <\/p>\n<p>Brokers Charles Schwab once did a survey of their clients to establish whether there was a particular time frame or investment strategy that yielded the best results. They found one category of client that outperformed all the others: those who had forgotten they had an account with Charles Schwab. The less activity there was on an account, the better it was likely to perform.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When you buy a stock, think of it as buying a share in a business. You are now the proud part-owner of a business enterprise. You may have a portfolio of such investments, but that shouldn&#8217;t alter your approach. Treat each as a long-term investment. If you own a gold stock, you are part-owner of &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/time-frames-hare-or-tortoise\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Time frames: Hare or tortoise?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-14731","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Time frames: Hare or tortoise? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"When you buy a stock, think of it as buying a share in a business. You are now the proud part-owner of a business enterprise. 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Structural or Cyclical Trends First prize is to find a growth stock with a multi-decade structural trend that will boost revenue and earnings growth. Whether from the rapid growth of technology, online services, artificial intelligence, ageing\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19699,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/return-on-invested-capital-roic\/","url_meta":{"origin":14731,"position":1},"title":"Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 31, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Return on invested capital (ROIC) reflects the return on total cash invested in the business, by way of equity and\/or interest-bearing debt. It recognizes that a large portion of total assets is funded by non-interest bearing liabilities from trade creditors, deferred taxes, advance payments by customers (deferred revenue), etc. That\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18386,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/recommendations-guide\/","url_meta":{"origin":14731,"position":2},"title":"Recommendations Guide","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 11, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Here is a quick guide to the Recommendations that we post on the website for model portfolios. Weighting Suggested Weighting gives the recommended long-term weighting in the portfolio. Weightings may be zero if a stock is interesting but unattractive at the current price, or if it has been sold. 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Interest rates, commodity prices, gold and exchange rates are typical examples. The Interest Rate Cycle Interest rates and inflation are closely linked\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/fredgraph47.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/fredgraph47.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/fredgraph47.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/fredgraph47.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/fredgraph47.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":17496,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/payback-period\/","url_meta":{"origin":14731,"position":5},"title":"Payback Period","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 29, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"We use a simple payback formula to measure the relative pricing of investments. Bear in mind that some investments are higher risk than others and therefore command a higher risk premium and shorter payback. The formula requires six inputs: Free Cash Flow (FCF), normally calculated as either: Operating Cash Flow\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/14731","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14731"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/14731\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51371,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/14731\/revisions\/51371"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14731"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}